Earnings Season
Earnings season is the period when a large number of companies report quarterly results. It often brings increased volatility and sector rotation as the market digests new information.
Typical Timing
In the US, earnings season occurs four times per year, beginning a few weeks after each quarter ends. Financials often report first, followed by other sectors.
Market Impact
- Elevated volatility around individual stocks
- Shifts in sector leadership
- Increased correlation within industries
- Wider spreads and higher option premiums
Trading Considerations
Strategies may focus on pre earnings positioning, post earnings momentum, or volatility mean reversion. Liquidity can be uneven, especially in smaller names.
Risks
Headline risk and guidance changes can cause abrupt moves. Position sizing should account for gap risk, and risk limits should be set before the release.
Practical Notes
Track the earnings calendar and avoid assuming normal liquidity conditions. Portfolio level exposure can rise if multiple holdings report in the same window.
Operational Notes
Definitions and conventions should be consistent across datasets and venues. A small difference in data fields or session boundaries can change outcomes, especially for short term strategies. Document inputs and assumptions so results can be reproduced.
If the concept depends on exchange rules or broker behavior, confirm those rules for the specific venue. Operational details often explain why a trade behaved differently than expected.
Stress Scenarios
During volatility spikes, liquidity can evaporate and price gaps can appear. Under these conditions, indicators can lag, order types can misfire, and spreads can widen sharply.
Stress testing the concept against fast markets, thin liquidity, and sudden news helps reveal hidden risks. If a strategy only works in calm conditions, size and timing should reflect that.
Documentation Tips
Keep a short checklist of the rules, parameters, and decision points. Record how the concept is used in live trading and compare it to backtest assumptions. This makes future refinement easier and reduces drift in execution.
Common Questions
Traders often ask how sensitive results are to parameter choices, how the concept behaves in different regimes, and whether it scales with size. Answering these questions early improves reliability and prevents overfitting.
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime
Checklist
- Define the exact rule in plain language
- Validate data quality and timing
- Quantify execution costs
- Set risk limits and stop logic
- Review performance by regime